Technical analysis is the forecasting of market prices by means of analysis of data generated by the process of trading. Technical analysis relies on the assumption that markets discount everything except information generated by market action, ergo, all you need is data generated by market action. Let's join and discuss the technical analysis in depth on particular stock with the traders all over the world.

Tuesday, 9 August 2011

Altera Corp

Trend: Downtrend (Bearish)
CandleStick: Inverted hammer indicate that the stock will go sideway or go up (bullish)
ADX: Downtrend with strong momentum (Bearish)
MACD: Downtrend (Bearish)
RSI: Below 30% (Bearish)
STO: Below 20% (Bearish)
Conclusion: 1 Bull 5 Bears

What price to sell?
Blue lines are resistance level and red lines are support level.  $36 is strong resistance for ALTR Corp, if break above $36, the next resistance level is $38.29.  Whereas, its support at $34.33.  You may either wait to sell at $36 or higher, but if the stock direction not in your favor, you may consider to sell at $34.33.

Monday, 8 August 2011

FBMKLCI

Would like to punt any counters if KLCI rebounce from support.  Perhaps tomorrow another gap down :)

Sunday, 7 August 2011

U-TURN (Sell)

Like the UTURN
(BUY) signal in a Bear market, U-TURN (SELL) signal is equally powerful to indicate a
change in trend when a stock is going strong and is making new higher prices (in a Bull
market). All of a sudden in a Bull trend the stock puts up a disappointing down day and
surprises most people. Many people think this as just a Reaction and expect the stock to
resume its continued ascending movement soon; but it does not happen most of the time
when the reversal conditions of the U-TURN (SELL) signal are met.
Here are the conditions for the U-TURN (SELL) signal with Bearish implications in a Bull
market. Please note that the signal discussed here takes place when the stock is in a uptrend
(Bull market) but the signal actually indicates that the stock is about to enter into a Bear
market or a down trend.
Key Points to remember: Current Trend- Up. Strong Open. Strong Bear Day. Increase
in Volume.
Conditions:
1. The stock has to be in a continued Up-trend.
http://www.profitfromprices.com Profit 12 From Prices
2. Today’s HIGH price (TDH) has to be highest price (TOP) for the stock in the last few
days. (If it is the highest for the last three or more weeks, we have a strong form of a
U-TURN (SELL) signal. If it is the highest for the last three to ten trading days only,
we have a weak form of U-TURN (SELL) signal. The strong form indicates a likely
trend reversal for the current major trend; and a weak form is related to just the start
of a Reaction or the end of a Correction.).
3. Today’s Open price (TDO) has to be HIGHER than Previous Day’s High price (PDH).
TDO > PDH (The more the difference between TDO and PDH, the more powerful the
signal is going to be)
4. Today’s Close price (TDC) has to be LOWER than Previous Day’s Close price
(PDC).
TDC < PDC
5. Today’s Close price (TDC) has to be LOWER than Previous Day’s Open price
(PDO).
TDC < PDO
6. Today’s Volume has to be decisively HIGHER than the normal volume of the last few
days or Previous Day’s volume. If the above conditions are fulfilled, you will mostly
see a decisive jump in stock volume today. If you don’t see a jump in the volume
today, the signal loses some of its strength.

U-TURN (Buy)

U-TURN (BUY) is one of my most favorite signals. As mentioned earlier, the (BUY) version of
U-TURN takes place when a stock is in a down-trend and is likely to enter into an up-trend. It
signals possibilities about the start of an up-trend.
Assume a stock is going down for quite some time. The following are quotes for the latest two
days:
Today 22, 27, 21, 26
Yesterday (Previous Day) 25, 26, 23, 24
Yesterday, the stock opened at 25$, touched a high of 26$ and a new recent low of 23$, and
at the end of the day it closed at 24$. Now today, when market opens, this stock opened at
22$ (a price lower than the Previous Day’s Low price of 23$) and started going down. Now
when it is trading as low as 21$, there are signs of fresh buying which pushes the price
higher. Not a big thing so far because this kind of buying could be seen several times during
any trading session. However, when the stock manages to trade higher than today’s Open
price or 22$, we need to be vigilant for a likely trend reversal. Now if the stock keeps going up
and closes for today at say 26$, which is higher than both Previous Day’s Open price of 25$
and the Previous Day’s Close price of 24$, we have a trend reversal signal! The stock that
has been going down for the last few days and also during the first few hours today,
somehow closed with a happy ending and a strong Close price. This reflects a 180-degree
change in the sentiment. Hence we will call this signal a U-TURN (Buy) signal.
What makes U TURN a powerful Trend Reversal signal? As we know, when a stock is in a
downtrend, sellers out-number or out-power buyers. In such circumstances, it is normal for
the stock to keep making lower Low prices as time passes. This reflects bearish, negative
sentiment or outlook for this stock. Now when trading starts for today, this stock opens at a
price lower than Previous Day’s Low price. This is common for any stock that is going down
and it just indicates the continuation of the negative sentiment. Now if at some point in time
during the session, the stock stages a reversal and starts trading higher. This is likely due to
an emergence of fresh demand at current low price of the stock. Now how can we determine
that the stock is really staging a reversal? To answer this question, the following tests can
help us differentiate a strong reversal from a temporary emergence of buying. First, there has
to be a noticeable increase in volume since this turning point. Second, it has to keep going up
and cross Previous Day’s Open and also the Close price. If both these conditions are fulfilled,
we can be sure that the buying in the stock has been real and powerful. To take advantage of
the currently low stock price, some players seem to have started buying it decisively despite
the strong negative sentiment held by most other players. This buying must be significant
because it not only absorbed what most players had to sell/offer, but buyers kept asking for
more stocks even at higher prices. Today’s demand not only absorbed the selling pressure,
but it even pushed the price higher than the prices of the Previous Day! Isn’t this a
convincing reversal in stock prices?
http://www.profitfromprices.com Profit 8 From Prices
This is a complete U-TURN in the stock price trend and now with a Stop-loss at Today’s Low
price, one can start taking long positions.
Key Points to remember: Current Trend- Down. Weak Open. Strong Bull Day.
Increase in Volume.
Conditions:
1. The stock has to be in a continued downtrend.
2. Today’s Low price (TDL) has to be the LOWEST price for the stock over the last few
days. (If it is the lowest for the last few weeks, we are likely to have a strong major
trend reversal signal- a strong form of U-TURN. However if Previous Day’s Low price
is the lowest for only the last three to ten days, we have a signal that is more likely to
mark the beginning of a Correction or the end of a Reaction – a weak form of UTURN).
3. WEAK OPEN: Today’s Open price (TDO) has to be LOWER than Previous Day’s
Low price (PDL).
TDO < PDL (The more the difference between TDO and PDL, the more powerful the
signal is going to be)
4. Today’s Close price (TDC) has to be HIGHER than Previous Day’s Close price
(PDC).
TDC > PDC
5. Today’s Close price (TDC) has to be HIGHER than Previous Day’s Open price
(PDO).
TDC > PDO
6. Today’s Volume has to be decisively HIGHER than the normal volume over the last
few days or Previous Day’s volume. If you don’t see a jump in the volume today, the
signal loses some of its strength.

Thursday, 4 August 2011

XOX will continue bull?

Trend: Uptrend (Bull)
ADX: Bull crossover bear with strong momentum (Bull)
MACD: Uptrend (bull)
RSI: Cross above 50% from below (Bull)
STO: Bull crossover bear with signal line above 80% (bull)
Volume distribution: Strong buy force(Bull)
Conclusion: 6 bulls
Entry: 0.37
TP: 0.435
Cut loss: 0.35

Wednesday, 3 August 2011

Mahsing

Trend: Form higher low, waiting to form higher high (Neutral)
ADX: Downtrend (Bearish)
MACD: Bullish crossover bearish (Bullish)
RSI: Moving upward (bullish)
STO: Uptrend (bullish)
Volume distribution: Strong sell force (bearish)
Conclusion: 3 Bull 2 bear 1 neutral
Entry Price: 2.53
TP: 2.55, 2.63, 2.68
Cut Loss: 2.4

LIONIND

Trend: Undetermine (Neutral)
ADX: Uptrend with weak momentum (bearish)
MACD: Waiting bullish to crossover bearish (Neutral)
RSI: Moving upward (Bullish)
STO: Uptrend with signal line touching 80% (Bullish)
Volume distribution: Strong buy force (Bullish)
Conclusion: 3 Bull 1 bear 2 neutral
Entry price: 1.84
TP: 1.89, 1.95
Cut loss: 1.72

KBB

Trend: Descending triangle (Bearish)
ADX: Flat (Neutral)
MACD: Downtrend (Bearish)
RSI: Below 50% (Bearish)
STO: Uptrend (Bullish)
Volume Distribution: Sell force dominant (Bearish)
Conclusion: 1 bull 4 bear 1 neutral
Entry price: 0.49
TP: 0.51
Cut Loss: 0.43
*Low reward to risk.

Infotec

Trend: Uptrend (Bullish)
ADX: Uptrend with momentum (Bullish)
MACD: Uptrend (Bullish)
RSI: Cross above 70% (Bullish)
STO: Uptrend with signal line above 80% (Bullish)
Volume Distribution: Strong buy force (Bullish)
Conclusion: 6 Bull

Entry price: 0.28
TP: 0.30
Cut loss: 0.26
RR: 1

Monday, 1 August 2011

CBIP

Entry price: 4.14
TP: 4.36, 4.47
Support: 4
High buy force.


Sunday, 31 July 2011

PCHEM my waterfall watch list

PCHEM rebounce from support 6.82 and close at 6.85.  6.82 is a strong support.  It formed inverted hammer on 29 July, could be sideway or up (require next trading day to confirm).  RSI level is low 17.7.  Please closely monitor this stock.  Entry price: 6.97.  TP: 7.06, 7.20.
I will monitor PCHEM-CE as well.  It is oversell recently as mother share price dive.
Exerciseprice: 6.8
ratio: 8:1
Ex-date:20/3/2012
Current PCHEM-CE price 0.09.  Do collect more at cheaper price as mother share having high potential to rebounce from technical analysis perspective:)

MHB waterfall

RSI below 30, indicate oversell.  MACD 4R1G, could it be signal of rebounce?  Volume distribution show high buy force.  Entry price:7.80, TP: 8.0, 8.15
MHB-CE: I prefer collect it rather than mother share :)
Exercise price: 5.8
Convert ratio: 10:1
Ex-date: 10/2/2012
Fair price: (7.65-5.8)/10= 0.185
If mother share rebounce,do collect more on the call warrant.

Friday, 22 July 2011

Stock to watch 25 July: WTK

Sorry, I have no time to update.  I keep it short, entry price: 1.94

AirAsia-ANA tie-up Finally

Airasia next resistance at 3.85 and support 3.67.  Candlestick form hanging man,  potential sideway (fluctuate 3.67-3.85) next week.  Take profit accordingly if hit 3.83.

Wednesday, 20 July 2011

Stock to watch 21 July: Uemland

4:25pm Airasia: It break resistance 3.67.  Buy more.
11:14am WCT: It start moving, at 3.09.  Support at 3.07, resistance 3.13.Worth to watch.
10:13am ASUPREM: It start moving, at 0.22.  Support at 0.205, resistance 0.225. Fishing at 0.21
Uemland: Bottom fishing at support 2.47.  RSI 11%, oversold.
Uemland-CE: Issued at 0.50 and expire at 20 Jan 2012. Exercise price at 2.55 and ratio 4:1. It is toilet paper now, haha... it still have half year to expire, want take risk to buy?

X

Trading Strategy

This is good trading strategy found in youtube.  It is very useful in maximizing profit in uptrend, downtrend and sideway market.  Enjoy!
 

 X

Tuesday, 19 July 2011

MRCB poised for re-rating: HwangDBS



Malaysian Resources Corp Bhd (MRCB) is poised for a re-rating with more sustainable earnings delivery and visible share price catalysts.

HwangDBS Vickers Research, in a note today, said with the coming general election, it was also an ideal proxy, as a government-linked company contractor and developer.

"Our RM700 million to RM800 million per annum new order assumptions for financial years 2011 to 2012 seem conservative, given MRCB's healthy pipeline of jobs.

"We expect MRCB to capitalise on its role as project delivery partner for the River of Life project, with phase one, worth RM3.3 billion with some visibility on contract awards by year-end," it said.

HwangDBS has nudged up MRCB's target price to RM3,25, after imputing higher earnings and rolling over valuation base to 2012. -- Bernama

Mitrajaya up on freshwater lab job

KUALA LUMPUR: MITRAJAYA HOLDINGS BHD [] shares advanced in early trade on Wednesday, July 20 after it secured a RM13.51 million contract to build a freshwater laboratory complex at Tasik Chini in Pekan, Pahang.
At 9.05am, Mitrajaya added two sen to 60.5 sen with 437,900 shares traded.
Its unit Pembinaan Mitrajaya Sdn Bhd accepted the letter of acceptance of contract from the East Coast Economic Region Development Council to build phase one of the laboratory.

Asia market rise as global market rebounce

WELLINGTON: Asian stocks are set for healthy gains on Wednesday, as easing debt fears, solid data, and earnings above expectations helped global markets gain.
The main Wall Street indices turned in a strong performance with the Dow and S&P 500 both gaining 1.6 percent while the Nasdaq rose 2.2 percent.
The latter's gains were made in part on anticipation of Apple's results due after the bell.
The maker of iPhones and iPads reported quarterly revenue well above analysts' estimates, adding to reports from International Business Machines Corp and Coca-Cola
The market got a boost late from comments by President Barack Obama that progress was being made towards a debt reduction deal.
Adding to the positive mood housing starts hit a six-month high in June, sending the PHLX Housing Index up 3 percent.
Asian stocks listed on Wall Street rose 1.2 percent while world stocks, as measured by the MSCI world equity index, gained 1.38 percent.
British shares added 0.7 percent while European shares were up 0.8 percent as the beaten-down banks regained some ground on easing debt worries and commodity stocks rose on higher prices.
The euro pushed higher against the U.S. dollar as investors cast an eye to a euro zone summit later this week, where it's hoped leaders will approve a second bailout for Greece worth 110 billion euros.
Japanese markets, which fell below its 200 day moving average support level on Tuesday, are set for a firm open with Nikkei futures traded in Chicago 120 points above the last closing level in Osaka.
Australian stocks are also set to gain helped by strong gold and metals prices, with share price index futures up 1.1 percent to be 21.85 points above the close of the underlying S&P/ASX 200 index. – Reuters