Technical analysis is the forecasting of market prices by means of analysis of data generated by the process of trading. Technical analysis relies on the assumption that markets discount everything except information generated by market action, ergo, all you need is data generated by market action. Let's join and discuss the technical analysis in depth on particular stock with the traders all over the world.

Tuesday, 19 July 2011

Will Mitra rebounce ?

From candlestick, Mitra form Piercing Line. It is reversal signal.  The reliability is low because the gap down occurs below support (0.58).  however, it is worth to monitor tomorrow.  To be uptrend, it need to support by high volume.
Entry price: Close above 0.60
take profit: 0.62, 0.64,0.67
cut loss:0.58

Stock to sell 20 July: Airasia

I always believe this trading rule: Buy on rumor sell on news. Take profit at 3.58

OSK Upgrades Fair Value Of Airasia To RM4.34
KUALA LUMPUR, July 19 (Bernama) -- OSK Research Sdn Bhd has upgraded its fair value on AirAsia Bhd to RM4.34 from RM3.89 while maintaining its 'buy' call.

In a research note Tuesday, OSK said AirAsia's revenue passenger kilometres (RPK) and passenger carriage for first half of financial year 2011 (1HFY11) remained consistently strong, growing by 16 per cent and 23.2 per cent year-to-date.

"Considering that 1H is typically the weaker half of the year, AirAsia's numbers nevertheless remained consistently strong despite the fuel surcharge having taking full effect in May," it said.

It said AirAsia's second quarter earnings were expected to rise further quarter-on-quarter on the back of improving yields due to the fuel surcharge, loan factor and RPK.

-- BERNAMA

Monday, 18 July 2011

KLCI dive down


Share prices on bursa Malaysia closed lower at market close today as the FBMKLCI bore the brunt of investor pessimism and external headwinds.
At 5pm, the FBM KLCI was down 14.67 points to 1,562.58, with 159 gainers, 646 losers and 268 counters traded unchanged. Turnover was 753.77 million shares valued at RM1.383bil.
In the region, all benchmark indices were lower at market close. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index lost 70.63 points to 21,804.75, Shanghai's Composite Index 3.48 points to 2,816.69, Seoul's Kospi Index 14.72 points to 2,130.48, and Singapore's Straits Times Index 5.29 points to 3,078.95.
The red lines in the chart below is the support for KLCI whereas blue line is the resistance.  The KLCI is under correction after a series of bullish. 

Will Airasia continue uptrend?

AirAsia Bhd, Southeast Asia’s biggest budget carrier, carried 19.6 per cent more passengers in June compared to a year earlier, according to an e-mailed statement today.

Its load factor rose to 80 per cent in June from 79 per cent last year, it said. In Malaysia, passenger trafic climbed 11.1 percent, 33.4 per cent in Thailand and 39.6 per cent in Indonesia, it said. The group carried 20.9 per cent more passengers in the second quarter of 2011, according to the statement. -- Bloomberg

Read more: AirAsia flies 19.6pc more passengers in June http://www.btimes.com.my/Current_News/BTIMES/articles/20110718154343/Article/index_html#ixzz1STC1fx4E

All Bank Sector down and they are waiting for the Debt Ceiling at USA,could this factor dragging Airasia to continue uptrend? Today, ADX, MACD, RSI, STO signal showing bearish :(
Airasia form a lower high but its closing price still above 20dMA, worth to hold for another round of bullish.

MRCB most likely sideway trading

From the indicators, MRCB most likely will in sideway trading mode this week, the price ranging from 2.22-2.28.  The 20dMA (brown line) is a strong support for MRCB.  As long as it doesn't close below 20dMA, it still have potential to become uptrend.

Sunday, 17 July 2011

NASDAQ- Altera Corp rebounce from support?

Altera Corp is a semiconductor company.  Would semiconductor industry outperform in the second half of year 2011?  Last friday, candlestick form hammer, it could be sign of reversal.  ADX showing weak momentum of bullish.  MACD bearish as it cross below zero from above. RSI touching 50%, weak bull.  STO indicate bearish.
Support : $41.5, $39.73
Resistance: $44.42, $45.75, $48.42

TRC sideway again?

Inverted hammer formed last friday most likely will lead the TRC to continue sideway next week, price fluctuating around 0.68-0.755.
Entry price: 0.76
Take profit: 0.815, 0.855
Cut loss: 0.71

Saturday, 16 July 2011

Analyze on XDL Fundamental performance

XDL trade at PE (1.765).   
How investor pick stock base on PE? 
For instance, stock A and stock B are in the same business field, both financial fundamental look similar, stock A trade at PE=10 whereas stock B trade at PE=15.  Obviously, investor  preferable to pick stock A as it is consider relatively cheap.
How we can determine a company is well managed? 
For a well managed company, its annual ROE is ~25% and ROA is ~15%.  In this case, XDL annual ROE=34.03% and ROA= 24.37%. 
Annual ROE=Annual profit / (Asset-Liabilities) ;
Annual ROA= Annual profit/ Asset;
How we know a company is holding enough cash?
A strong fundamental company current ratio should be less than 5.  In this case, XDL current ratio is ~1 and it is consider good.
How earning per share(EPS) affect the stock price?
PE=Current stock price/ EPS;
Assume the XDL PE is trade at 1.765.  Year 2010 EPS=0.1983.
Current stock price= 1.765 x 0.1983 = 0.35.
If Year 2011 projected EPS is 0.25, stock fair price= 0.44.
2011 Q1 EPS=0.0431, XDL need to work hard in Q2,Q3,Q4 to gain 0.2069 to make annual EPS=0.25. 
Would XDL archive it? 
Please leave some comment if you have any insider news about XDL or anything about XDL.

Friday, 15 July 2011

WCT rebounce from support 3.08 (Stock to watch on 18 July)

Entry price: RM3.17
ADX: Bullish momentum weak
MACD: 4R1G, bull almost kissing with bear from below (Bullish)
RSI and STO start to rebounce, bullish.

Kurasia hit our take profit price

Kurasia high 0.57.  Our take profit price at  RM0.56
Sold off half at 0.56 to secure the profit.  Next take profit price at 0.58 and 0.60.  New cut loss at 0.50.  If you would like to maximize the profit from this counter, you may use Trail Stop Loss Method

AirAsia-ANA tie-up likely

How you can make huge profit in Airasia?  Maximize profit using trail stop loss technique

PETALING JAYA: AirAsia is likely to have a joint venture with Japan's largest carrier - All Nippon Airways (ANA) - to set up a low cost airline likely to be called AirAsia Japan.
An announcement on the collaboration is expected to be made next week and it would involve the setting up of a low cost carrier (LCC) and a hub in Japan by AirAsia. The LCC will serve the domestic market and eventually regional markets, sources say.
Like its other joint ventures in Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines and Vietnam, AirAsia will partner ANA, which may lead in equity share holding but operationally, the Malaysian carrier will be in the driver's seat.
Whether this JV will involve ANA's recently launched low cost unit, Peach Aviation, is not clear.
Peach, which is said to have received its Air Operators' Certificate from the country's Civil Aviation Bureau is owned by ANA in partnership with Hong Kong's First Eastern Investment Group and Japan's Innovative Network. All three parties own a 33.3% each in Peach.
Peach is supposed to operate in March next year from Kansai International Airport and AirAsia Japan probably will operate from either Tokyo or even Fukukoa.
There are plenty of choices for AirAsia to operate from including Fukukoa Osaka, Sapporo, Haneda and even Kansai.
Narita Airport, based in Tokyo, is the busiest airport in Japan and last year it said it would open a terminal exclusively for low-cost airlines in a bid to grab a larger slice of the increasingly competitive Asian tourism market.
For AirAsia which is still in expansion mode, the JV bodes well in terms of reach and connectivity. Even though AirAsia's sister airline, AirAsia X flies to Tokyo via Haneda, a hub gives the airline exposure to a new market, traffic and connectivity that enlarges its route network.
This venture will eventually translate to additional revenues for AirAsia in the longer term.
AirAsia joint venture in the Philippines is set to take off in October this year from Clark. Both ThaiAirAsia and IndoAirAsia have grown in size to become candidates for initial public offerings.
ANA is the eighth largest airline in the world by revenues and the largest in Japan by passenger numbers. Founded in 1952, it flies to 76 domestic and international cities in a fleet of 228 aircraft serving a network of 164 routes.
ANA has 33,000 employees and operates more than 1,000 flights a day. In 2009, it carried 44 million passengers.
ANA has been a core member of Star Alliance since 1999. It has a 47% share in Japan's domestic passenger services market.
ANA's rival is Japan Airlines (JAL) which is also in talks with Qantas to set up its own low cost airline. JAL is a member of oneworld and ANA has a code share arrangement with Malaysia Airlines.
ANA will also be launching the world's newest and most advanced passenger aircraft - the Boeing 787 Dreamliner this year.

Thursday, 14 July 2011

Boring with MRCB

ADX signal shows MRCB will go sideway.  MACD undetermine, waiting for 4R1G.  RSI and STO bearish, if broke below 50%, it is not good.  Cut loss at 2.24

Kurasia sideway

Kurasia reach its 20dMA support, will it further dive down or rebounce? ADX, MACD, RSI and STO show bearish signal.Volume distribution show strong buy force by small fish (not a very strong bullish sign).  Remember to cut loss if drop to 0.48

Can we fly again with Airasia?

I believe Airasia can fly,do you? All signal are intact except volume distribution show high selling pressure.  perhaps it is intraday profit taking.  Hold airasia and let ride the bull togather.

Efficen bullish again?

We have bought this counter as it hit our entry price at 0.24. Candlestick form white hammer and rebounce from 20dMA, bullish sign. ADX shows bullish start to pick up its momentum. MACD, 4R1G,bullish sign. RSI rebounce from 50%, bullish. STO, bullish kiss with bearish with K line slightly above 50%, bullish.  volume distribution shows high sell pressure, bearish.  Conclusion, 5 bulls 1 bear.

Kinstel near cut loss

Please closely monitor Kinstel tomorrow.  Cut loss if drop below 0.70. All indicators are bearish signal, not a good sign.  Volume distribution also bearish.

Wednesday, 13 July 2011

14 July stock to watch

KULIM, 2 white candles after double doji, indicating bullish signal.  ADX is flat indicate that price correction is happening.  MACD waiting for bull to cross bear from below, undetermine now.  RSI and STO showing bullish signal.  Volume distribution showing great buy force, bullish!

Entry price: 3.61
Take profit: 3.66,3.83
Cut loss: 3.53

WCT sideway or break out or breakdown?

WCT form doji today, meaning need next trading day for confirmation whether it is up or down.  it form doji close at support level, perhaps it'll gain it momentum and shoot up tomorrow.  ADX signal cross 20 from below indicating new trend is forming. RSI showing bullish signal while MACD and STO show bearish.  From volume distribution, it is obvious that selling pressure from big shark is high especially near trading session close today.
We remain our support at 3.08 and cut loss at 3.06.

TRC downtrend or sideway?

Technically, TRC is not a good buy now.  All indicators are showing bearish signal.  Its support at 0.68, if break below, it will further dive down.  Be careful.

Anyone lock the Airasia today?

Airasia hit our entry price today.  Anyone manage to buy it?  It is closing at our entry price, let's hope airasia fly high!  Everyone can fly!


Technically, Airasia is nice.  As you can see, the white candle today is supported with high volume (Bullish).  Furthermore, the ADX start to cross above 40 indicating the uptrend momentum become stronger.  MACD look good today, 4R1G indicating bullish.  Both RSI and STO signal look good (bullish).  Please sell half when the price hit RM3.65, and the balance aim for RM3.84.  Airasia support is at 3.50 and our cut loss is at 3.42 (2 pips below previous higher low closing).